$750 Gold Thread (April 19, 2007)  

 

Gold is continuing to ride liquidity wave (unless you are in house flips, subprimes, or Watts condominiums you are already screwed). Gold looks as if it wants to have a fifth wave, ending this fairly lengthy wave 4 correction.  
 
For awhile i have stated that gold was in no-man's land between $630 and $670, and a break lower would be bearish and a break higher would be bullish (see last Da Bear Report). Gold broke above $670 and looks to attack $700 and beyond.  
 
Oil should stay under control here, and stocks refuse to collapse (last suckers rally), which should give gold room to run.  
 
I put a $750 target on the price of gold because i think it is breaking out of its correction, and would lend a price just higher than last year's high of $730. It is also a 79% retracement of the old $880 all-time high to its low around $270.  
 
If gold goes higher than $750, which it could other targets are $800 and $900. An $800 high would put it nearly 38% above the 1987 high and would be another great indication of an '87 style stock crash. A big stock crash later on, which i am predicting, would take gold and gold stocks down with it, as it did in 1987 and 1929.  
 
Currently my maximum upside target for gold is $900 which is about 3% higher than its old all-time high. Incidentally, the last great sucker rally in stocks took the Dow to 1,031 in the seventies, about 3% higher than the previous record of 1,000 before it broke down. Then gold could drop 50% like its last cyclical bear within a larger bull market in the seventies. That would then take the price of gold to $450. The $450 area represents the last real base in the gold price.  
  
- da bear